Finance, Treasury and Credit Risk

Credit Risk Modelling (PD, LGD, EAD build)

Develop practical capabilities in building and calibrating credit risk parameters.

3 daysUS$300 per delegate
Overview

What the programme covers

Build PD, LGD and EAD models from a single raw account file. You calibrate and test each model, apply low-default-portfolio techniques, and document the work to the standard a credit committee expects.

Practical modelling with Python and AI-assisted development

Use AI tools, including Claude Code, to accelerate model development, testing and documentation.

Curriculum

What you will learn

01

Credit risk modelling foundations

Understand the PD, LGD and EAD framework

  • Credit risk parameters overview
  • Regulatory capital and provisioning context
  • Model development lifecycle
  • Data and governance requirements
02

Data preparation and EDA

Prepare and understand the raw account file

  • Data profiling and quality checks
  • Missing values and outliers
  • Sample selection and treatment
  • Exploratory analysis
03

PD scorecard modelling

Build an AI-assisted PD scorecard

  • Weight of Evidence transformation
  • Logistic regression
  • PD estimation and calibration
  • AI-assisted modelling
04

PD validation

Test whether the PD model performs as expected

  • ROC, CAP and KS
  • Calibration checks
  • Model stability
  • Testing and reconciliation
05

LGD modelling

Develop Loss Given Default estimates

  • Recovery and collateral data
  • Workout LGD
  • Discounting
  • LGD validation
06

EAD modelling

Estimate Exposure at Default

  • Credit conversion factors
  • Utilisation analysis
  • EAD estimation
  • EAD validation
07

Model documentation and governance

Prepare models for credit committee review

  • Assumption documentation
  • Model risk documentation
  • Governance sign-off requirements
  • Version control
08

Reconciliation and reporting

Turn model outputs into trusted results

  • Output reconciliation
  • Sensitivity analysis
  • Testing and reconciliation
  • Model reporting and documentation
How you build it

The tools and the method

Claude Code, Codex and agentic AIBuild → Analyse → Model → Calibrate → Report
The principle

Use AI to speed up the build.

Use testing and reconciliation to prove the numbers.

Use credit risk expertise to make the judgement.

Who it is for

Built for these roles

  • Credit Risk Analysts
  • Credit Model Developers
  • Credit Committee Members
  • Model Validation Staff
  • Finance Professionals
What you leave with

You will have worked through a practical end-to-end AI-assisted PD, LGD and EAD model build, from a single raw account file through calibration, validation and credit-committee-ready documentation.

Programme details

The practical details

Duration3 days
DeliveryInstructor-led with live demonstrations and practical exercises
InvestmentUS$300 per delegate
Group bookings20% discount
PrerequisitesLaptop, working knowledge of credit risk and Excel
ToolsPython and AI-assisted development, including Claude Code
FacilitatorTafirei Mashamba, PhD
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Related programmes

Need this built for your institution instead? See Credit Risk Modelling.

Ready to register?

Book your seat, or ask about training your whole team. Group bookings receive a 20% discount.